With two nationally televised possible blowouts on tap, at least fantasy players get to mix in a third game on this Thursday slate, as Houston travels to face Dallas in a regional telecast that is likely to be the closest of the three games. The TV nightcap is Phoenix at Golden State.
Last time the Cavs and Heat faced off it was a 106-92 Miami win at home. In fact, Miami held serve in both home games against Cleveland this season, also winning a 101-91 decision.
Cleveland crushed Miami in Ohio earlier this season, 113-93.
The Cavs are expected to score over 105 tonight, but they could surpass that.
The last time they met in Cleveland, the Cavs had seven in double figures, including Timothy Mozgov‘s 20 points and eight rebounds, while LBJ had a 18-9-7 stat line. It should be noted that the Heat had Chris Bosh for that one, but no Dwyane Wade.
This also is shaping up for a first-round preview here, although the Heat are locked in a battle for seventh with Brooklyn.
On this night, we could even get enough basement value to try and squeeze the three stars of the night into the same lineup. The only condition would be that Golden State’s Draymond Green continues to miss with his shin injury. He was listed as questionable overnight.
We would look to add the other stars of the card, James Harden and Steph Curry.
If Green is in the Warriors lineup, the star we would likely move off of would be Curry, following a couple sub-projection outings and the potential for another GS blowout. The Suns have been playing respectfully hard, but the Warriors are still playing like they are fighting to get into the playoffs, and not already clinched the conference. Still, it would seem that the Warriors will tone it down a bit in preparation for the postseason.
Meanwhile, Harden blew up again last night for nearly 70 fantasy (which actually was only the third highest fantasy production of the night) and a career-high 51 points.
On our target list would be Brandan Wright of the Suns. Wright is the number one target as a value play on this night. If Alex Len misses the game with a facial injury, as expected, he will be the first click on every lineup we make. When truly given in the range of 30+ minutes, Wright has put up star-like numbers. He hasn’t had any fantasy impact over the last six games due to Len’s return, but he could go for over 25 fantasy tonight. He went well over that subbing for Len back in March.
Shaun Livingston – The Warriors’ G is another value play, as his salary keeps going down to 3.8k on FanDuel. He really hasn’t done much lately, but if this one shapes up to be a blowout as expected – GS is favored by double digits – we like Shaun at his 3.8k price tag on FD and to approach nearly 20 fantasy points.
Marreese Speights – If Green is out, we are going to be back on Mo Buckets again. Speights may eventually come off as the best value of the night if he can make upwards of 25 points for just his 3.8k at FanDuel.
David Lee – The injury news is key for Lee, as well. If no Dray, we want Lee for 4.5k at FD. Lee can be hit-and-miss spotty, especially if the Warriors are at full strength, but he put up 27 fantasy last time out in the game at LAC with 17 points.
Eric Bledsoe – The Suns’ guard has had his salary cut by $500 after a recent string of sub-par fantasy performances, as he is under 8.k for the first time in 2015. That is usually a green light for us, as we look for Phoenix to at least get some decent production in the early stages of an up-tempo start.
Marcus Morris -With Alex Len and Brandon Knight out, that only helps Marcus, who has already been a great producer for over two weeks. Morris did have an off game last time out at POR, missing projection badly. Still, he is a solid recommendation tonight with PF looking very weak this evening.
T.J. Warren – The Phoenix SF is a super sleeper, coming off a pair of strong performances against OKC and POR. Two games ago against the Thunder, he made 8-of-10 from the field and had 18 points en route to a 33-point fantasy performance.
Dwight Howard – Howard should finally start showing some fantasy impact, as he has been a slightly above average return on his limited minutes schedule. He has sat the last two games after returning from injury to play three-straight. He still should be on a cap, but he could get his most minutes so far and that could bring over 25 fantasy in a high scoring affair vs the Mavs.
Pablo Prigioni – Pablo is going to be in our lineup if we get the news we are looking for in the Warriors’ lineup. He has been a nice value play in each of the last three games, averaging 25 minutes and easily cleared his modest projections, even getting 25 fantasy points against SAC last night.
J.R. Smith – J.R. played big minutes over the last two games, but came up well short of projection. In the two games before that, however, he hit for over 30 FPs. At this price of 5.7k, we look for him to approach 25 fantasy points.