Fantasy Football: Start ‘Em Scrap ‘Em Week 4

Rob Heinemann
10/1/15

Welcome to Roster Resource’s weekly fantasy article based on the best and worst values we find on FanDuel and DraftKings. Remember, we are not making season-long recommendations. These suggestions on who to start and who to scrap help you win each Sunday and get paid on Monday in your DFS leagues or tournaments.

Quarterbacks

Andrew Luck: FanDuel $9,100 – DraftKings $7.800

Luck gave his owners a glimpse of things to come in the second half against Tennessee. It was a rough start for Luck with his first two games coming against the Jets and Bills. Not only is Luck at home this week, he’s going up against a Jaguars defense that just allowed 51 points to the Patriots.

Derek Carr: FanDuel $7,000 – DraftKings $5,300

After a slow start in week one, Carr has since torched the Ravens and Browns defenses for 314 and 351 yards, respectively. With a Bears defense that looks absolutely awful on deck for the Raiders, Carr has the potential to produce top five quarterback results in week four.

Michael Vick: FanDuel $6,700 – DraftKings $5,000

The Steelers have a set of offensive weapons that most quarterbacks would give their right arm for. Vick isn’t going to be asked to throw the ball into tight windows 40-plus times. Expect Vick to throw about 30 times against a weak Ravens pass defense but the Steelers will minimize risk for the veteran quarterback. Antonio Brown, Le’veon Bell and Heath Miller are excellent options that Vick can hit within a few yards of the line of scrimmage.

Stay away from
Andy Dalton – It looks like Dalton is poised for a good season and we’re on board with playing him as a solid value most weeks. The best thing Kansas City offers is a pass rush and Dalton has struggled when under pressure in the past, unlike Aaron Rodgers on Monday.
Ryan Tannehill – Tannehill and the Dolphins offense have weapons but haven’t delivered. There’s no reason to think that this week, against a stout Jets defense, will be the turnaround.

Running Backs

Matt Forte: FanDuel $8,300 – DraftKings $7,100

Forte’s cost is down a bit after a rough two weeks but those games were against the Seahawks and Cardinals, possibly the two best defenses in the league. The Raiders are on the road at Chicago and with Jay Cutler out, the Bears should be looking to dominate possession via the run game.

Mark Ingram: FanDuel $8,100 – DraftKings $6,000

Drew Brees seems to be ready to return this week but it’s been made clear that he’s not 100 percent. The result will likely be an increased workload for the Saints runners and Ingram is the leader and goal line option of that crew. Ingram is more of a safety play than a tournament play, but he should easily double his cost in points.

Melvin Gordon: FanDuel $6,800 – DraftKings $4,900

Now that all the hypesters have settled down and backed off Gordon, the value players can cash in on his production. Gordon has received 14 or more carries in each game this year and the Chargers are back home after a pair of games on the road. This could be the week the rookie breaks out and his price may never be this low again.

Karlos Williams: FanDuel $6,300 – DraftKings $3,400

This is a bonus pick but it requires you to check back and ensure that LeSean McCoy is out for this game. If McCoy is out, Williams will be the value of the week.

Stay away from
DeMarco Murray: Murray is simply too much of a risk and Washington has a solid from seven against the run. Include Marshawn Lynch in this boat and choose a healthier option.
DeVonta Freeman: Atlanta is returning home but the hype around Freeman is too much right now. He’ll be a far too popular play based on one performance.

Wide Receivers

Emmanuel Sanders: FanDuel $7,900 – DraftKings $7,700

The Broncos offense, at least the passing game, seems to be clicking after a few weeks and Sanders is Peyton Manning’s go-to option. Sanders has 22 catches through three games and the Broncos are home after two weeks on the road. Minnesota is solid defensively but even if they pressure Peyton, Sanders is often available for check downs. Book him for seven catches and 100 yards this week.

Amari Cooper: FanDuel $7,200 – DraftKings $6,300

The rookie wideout is coming off a pair of 100-yard games and has had at least five receptions in each game this year. The Bears defense shouldn’t offer much resistance toward Cooper hitting both those marks again this week and we like him for a touchdown, or two, this week.

Percy Harvin: FanDuel $5,700 – DraftKings $4,600

It doesn’t look like Sammy Watkins is going to play this week, which would leave Harvin as the No. 1 target for Tyrod Taylor against a weak Giants defense. Harvin has 16 catches through three games and you can expect him to be good for at least seven more this week. If McCoy is out along with Watkins, Harvin will likely see 12-15 touches this week.

Stay away from
Antonio Brown: We’d be surprised if Brown doesn’t get his five catches for 50 yards but you’re looking for much more out of a $9,000 investment. Let’s see how he does with Vick under center before we spend top dollar.
Calvin Johnson: There’s simply no reason to play around with a receiver, even Megatron, on the road at Seattle. You’d be hoping for a 25-point game out of Calvin at his current price tag and that just isn’t likely.

Tight Ends

Travis Kelce: FanDuel $6,400 – DraftKings $5,300

Kelce has established himself as a premier tight end and the clear cut No. 1 option for Alex Smith. The Chiefs could end up playing from behind at Cincinnati this week, which would give Kelce ample opportunity to put up numbers.

Jordan Reed: FanDuel: $5,600 – DraftKings $4,500

Reed has turned out to be one of the more reliable tight end options so far in 2015. Kirk Cousins looks for Reed when he’s pressured, which is on most of his dropbacks, and the athletic tight end has responded with at least six catches and 60 yards in each game this year.

Richard Rodgers: FanDuel $4,900 – DraftKings $2,500

This is your best bet at a cheap tight end that will be played by a very low percentage in most formats. If you’re looking for a tournament play this week, it doesn’t get much better than Rodgers. Andrew Quarless went down with an injury and DaVante Adams also appears to be sidelined this week. Aaron Rodgers is going to throw multiple touchdown passes and someone has to catch them.

Stay away from
Jason Witten: It’s just too soon to play someone as banged up as Witten. If he gets through another week without any setbacks, then you can roll with him again. Even if he has a good game this week, you’d rather watch from the sidelines than invest in a guy with multiple ankle and knee issues.
Larry Donnell: Donnell has been a disappointment in fantasy and for the Giants. There have been multiple drops and miscommunications involving Donnell. Also, the matchup against Buffalo is anything but ideal.

Rob Heinemann is an avid sports fan who has been playing fantasy sports since 1998. Heinemann, a New Yorker, has covered high school, college and professional sports since 2010. Follow @NFLRosters and @RobMSGV on Twitter and feel free to shoot your fantasy-related questions our way. Be sure to check back each week for information on who to start and who to scrap in your DFS leagues. 

 

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